Fitting the Model Visually 𝑓(𝑥) = 𝑚𝑥 + 𝑏
For this section, you’ll need to have Modeling Covid Spread (Desmos) open on your computer.
1 Try changing the value of 𝑚 and 𝑏 to find three promising linear models, graphing each one and labeling your values in the grids below.
𝑚= |
𝑚= |
𝑚= |
Fitting the Model Programmatically 𝑓(𝑥) = 𝑚𝑥 + 𝑏
For this section, open your copy of the Covid Spread Starter File.
2 In the Definitions Area, define the three models you fit in Desmos, calling them linear1
, linear2
and linear3
to .
3 Use fit-model
to determine the 𝑅2 value of each of your models for the MA-table
.
𝑅2 for linear1
: 𝑅2 for linear2
: 𝑅2 for linear3
:
4 Use lr-plot
to obtain the best-possible linear model for the MA Covid dataset.
-
y =
-
𝑅2 =
5 Look at the equation lr-plot
generated. Do you see an e
? What does it mean?
6 How does the model generated by lr-plot
compare to the ones you fit visually in Desmos?
Are Linear Models a Good Fit for This Data?
7 Would you feel good about making predictions based on these models? Why or why not?
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